Apr 08, 2026 10:04 UTC · research · Substack
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Shift from fear of escalation to skeptical stabilization regime in markets due to geopolitical developments in the Middle East.
Apr 06, 2026 08:04 UTC · research · Substack
Relief rallies are occurring, driven by positioning rather than fundamentals. Geopolitical and macroeconomic dynamics remain unchanged, leading to only tempo...
Apr 03, 2026 20:04 UTC · research · Substack
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@alphapicks: Bank holiday reading for those still half-switched on. Just put out a short note: Don’t Mention the "R" Word — a thought experiment on how reces...
Apr 03, 2026 19:04 UTC · research · Substack
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Current cycle lacks key ingredients of 2022 stagflationary shock; inflation dynamic less entrenched, moderating wage growth, softening labor market sentiment...
Apr 01, 2026 22:57 UTC · research · Substack
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Apr 01, 2026 14:04 UTC · research · Substack
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@alphapicks: Morning, all. Wrote a few thoughts over on the secondary publication ahead of the Fed meeting today. The main focus is tone and SEP for 2026. If...
Apr 01, 2026 14:04 UTC · research · Substack
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Fed chair chatter and Polymarket predictions reflect ongoing uncertainty about Fed's future direction and potential influence of Trump.
Apr 01, 2026 14:04 UTC · research · Substack
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Mar 30, 2026 07:39 UTC · research · Substack
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Markets facing geopolitical risks, tech weakness, and energy price impact; Fed cautious with potential for further tightening.
Mar 26, 2026 23:04 UTC · research · Substack
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Recent gold selloff driven by liquidity needs despite geopolitical risks.
Mar 26, 2026 23:04 UTC · research · Substack
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Discussion on gold affected by macro events and forced selling, not intrinsic value.
Mar 23, 2026 23:04 UTC · research · Substack
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Markets are transitioning from early optimism to late-week selling due to geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns.
Mar 20, 2026 23:05 UTC · research · Substack
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Monetary policy influences and labor pressure in UK and Japan are affecting trades.
Mar 20, 2026 23:05 UTC · research · Substack
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Mar 20, 2026 23:05 UTC · research · Substack
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Discussion about market reactions to Middle East conflict and the role of the dollar as a haven asset
Mar 20, 2026 23:05 UTC · trade_alert · Substack
open short — Positioning for de-escalation and potentially lower oil prices.
Mar 20, 2026 23:05 UTC · research · Substack
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War in Iran causing inflation fears, rising Treasury yields, and strength in US dollar; markets being shaped by geopolitical dynamics rather than economic dr...
Mar 20, 2026 23:05 UTC · research · Substack
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Volatility surged driven by geopolitics and rate markets; HSBC argues for 'peak fear'; Barclays sees equities lower/yields higher.
Mar 20, 2026 23:05 UTC · research · Substack
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War in the Middle East increased volatility, pushing investors to a defensive posture. Higher oil prices and inflationary pressures contribute to a stagflati...
Mar 20, 2026 23:05 UTC · research · Substack
Market shift to defensive sectors, macro uncertainties with PPI, services inflation, and prolonged Fed hold.